Climate scientists are confronting a hard truth: some of the most widely used models are struggling to keep up with the pace and texture of real‑world warming. The physics at their core remains sound, ...

Patagonia’s glaciers have been shrinking faster than ever over the past two decades, and the reasons go far beyond simple warming. New research shows a deeper, long-term shift in the atmosphere is to ...

Researchers have long been puzzled by the observed cooling of the eastern tropical Pacific and the Southern Ocean accompanying global warming. Existing climate models have failed to capture this ...

Climate change is already shaping our well-being. It affects mental health, spreads infectious diseases, disrupts work, damages food supplies and forces families to leave their homes because of ...

Changes in rainfall within global monsoon regions affect the livelihoods of billions. For years, climate models have ...

Organic carbon decomposition in soil varies significantly and in regional patterns, driven in part by factors such as soil minerals and microbial properties that have been underrepresented in carbon ...

Climate models have been the basis for concern about climate change for more than 35 years. The US government, the United Nations, and organizations across the world have used model projections to ...

The climate crisis could trigger a global financial crash as temperatures rise beyond 2C, but governments and investors are relying on economic models that fail to account for the scale and severity ...

When English author J.R.R. Tolkien crafted his fantasy world Middle-earth, he argued storytellers are essentially “sub-creators” – they build fictional realms with internally consistent laws. For a ...

Inge Schrijver's PhD is part of the WISE Horizons project, which is funded by Horizon Europe (grant number 101095219). Paul Behrens receives funding from The British Academy and REAPRA. Rutger ...